FOTO - Focus on Therapeutic Outcomes | Predictive Analytics Archives https://fotoinc.com/tag/predictive-analytics/ Measure Outcomes - Manage Quality - Market Strengths Tue, 15 Feb 2022 14:44:56 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.5.2 Physical Prognostic Factors Predicting Outcome Following Lumbar Discectomy Surgery: Systematic Review and Narrative Synthesis https://fotoinc.com/foto-blog/physical-prognostic-factors-predicting-outcome-following-lumbar-discectomy-surgery-systematic-review-and-narrative-synthesis/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=physical-prognostic-factors-predicting-outcome-following-lumbar-discectomy-surgery-systematic-review-and-narrative-synthesis https://fotoinc.com/foto-blog/physical-prognostic-factors-predicting-outcome-following-lumbar-discectomy-surgery-systematic-review-and-narrative-synthesis/#respond Mon, 15 Oct 2018 10:00:00 +0000 https://fotoinc.com/physical-prognostic-factors-predicting-outcome-following-lumbar-discectomy-surgery-systematic-review-and-narrative-synthesis/ As I read this abstract, my mind went into a whole different area: machine learning. Technology has come so far in the last 5 years that at some point, we need to discuss the idea of machine learning to help improve the care we provide. More and more research is being dedicated to predictive factors. […]

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As I read this abstract, my mind went into a whole different area: machine learning. Technology has come so far in the last 5 years that at some point, we need to discuss the idea of machine learning to help improve the care we provide.

machine-learningMore and more research is being dedicated to predictive factors. I can appreciate the need to be able to predict outcomes. The one thing with FOTO that I truly love is the predictive ability based on the risk adjustment process. At the same time, my mind wonders.

As we know, having the ability to be able to predict an outcome AND the best path of care would have a high amount of value. In the near future, we will begin to see more money and time spent in designing systems to include machine learning. I wanted to take time to share machine learning and how it could be helpful in the medical world.

 

 

After listening to Suchi Saria speak, it really seemed to me that systematic reviews may not be the best option when it comes to physical prognostic factors. What would it look like if we began to implement machine learning? We’d have a ton of data and information points within the electronic medical record. We’d capture the real world, all encompassing, messy information versus the few data points and factors we seem to believe have the most value. I feel excited about what could be learned and how quickly we could learn based on real-life data. 

You’ll find the abstract to the recent study below.

Physical prognostic factors predicting outcome following lumbar discectomy surgery: systematic review and narrative synthesis.

 

Abstract

BACKGROUND:

Success rates for lumbar discectomy are estimated as 78-95% patients at 1-2 years post-surgery, supporting its effectiveness. However, ongoing pain and disability is an issue for some patients, and recurrence contributing to reoperation is reported. It is important to identify prognostic factors predicting outcome to inform decision-making for surgery and rehabilitation following surgery. The objective was to determine whether pre-operative physical factors are associated with post-operative outcomes in adult patients [≥16 years old] undergoing lumbar discectomy or microdiscectomy.

METHODS:

A systematic review was conducted according to a registered protocol [PROSPERO CRD42015024168]. Key electronic databases were searched [PubMed, CINAHL, EMBASE, MEDLINE, PEDro and ZETOC] using pre-defined terms [e.g. radicular pain] to 31/3/2017; with additional searching of journals, reference lists and unpublished literature. Prospective cohort studies with ≥1-year follow-up, evaluating candidate physical prognostic factors [e.g. leg pain intensity and straight leg raise test], in adult patients undergoing lumbar discectomy/microdiscectomy were included. Two reviewers independently searched information sources, evaluated studies for inclusion, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias [QUIPS]. GRADE determined the overall quality of evidence.

RESULTS:

1189 title and abstracts and 45 full texts were assessed, to include 6 studies; 1 low and 5 high risk of bias. Meta-analysis was not possible [risk of bias, clinical heterogeneity]. A narrative synthesis was performed. There is low level evidence that higher severity of pre-operative leg pain predicts better Core Outcome Measures Index at 12 months and better post-operative leg pain at 2 and 7 years. There is very low level evidence that a lower pre-operative EQ-5D predicts better EQ-5D at 2 years. Low level evidence supports duration of leg pain pre-operatively not being associated with outcome, and very low-quality evidence supports other factors [pre-operative ODI, duration back pain, severity back pain, ipsilateral SLR and forward bend] not being associated with outcome [range of outcome measures used].

CONCLUSION:

An adequately powered low risk of bias prospective observational study is required to further investigate candidate physical prognostic factors owing to existing low/very-low level of evidence. 

 2018 Sep 11;19(1):326. doi: 10.1186/s12891-018-2240-2.

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Collaborative Opportunity for Clinicians and Academia https://fotoinc.com/foto-blog/collaborative-opportunity-for-clinicians-and-academia/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=collaborative-opportunity-for-clinicians-and-academia https://fotoinc.com/foto-blog/collaborative-opportunity-for-clinicians-and-academia/#respond Fri, 17 Aug 2018 10:00:00 +0000 https://fotoinc.com/collaborative-opportunity-for-clinicians-and-academia/ One of the biggest debates revolving around research includes the stance that the world of academia needs a dose of clinical reality. How many of you wonder if your patient will improve? You meet your patient and you wonder… will this patient improve? A friend of mine believed that one question alone would help answer […]

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One of the biggest debates revolving around research includes the stance that the world of academia needs a dose of clinical reality.

collaboration-traumatic-injury-distress-scaleHow many of you wonder if your patient will improve? You meet your patient and you wonder… will this patient improve? A friend of mine believed that one question alone would help answer this question. Very simply asking, “how confident are you that you will improve?” Okay, it may be helpful, I’m not sure it has a solid bulk of research supporting that a single question can give an answer.

Right now, all of you using FOTO have an opportunity to help Dave Walton. Let me jog your memory… Dave was a recent recipient of the $10,000 D. L. Hart Memorial Research Grant. Dave and his team are on an adventure. They are on a mission focused on predicting individuals who will experience continued disability and persistent pain. This research is definitely relevant for clinicians in the trenches. To know the risk will inform your clinical decisions – including the words you use, the therapeutic alliance you build, the interventions you choose and the referrals you recommend.

The way Dave and his team planned on learning and predicting hinged on a patient self-report measure, the Traumatic Injuries Distress Scale.  The study is: Translation and Further Validation of a Risk-Based Prognostic Screening Questionnaire.” You have a very, very easy way to collaborate and assist Dave and his team’s endeavor. Within the administrative portal of FOTO, you can go to the various optional surveys. Set the Traumatic Injuries Distress Scale (TIDS) so that it is required. If you are familiar with the STaRT back screening tool, it seems to me that the TIDS is somewhat similar. The TIDS’s scores range between 0-24 points. Initial score thresholds for clinical interpretation of the TIDS are as follows: Rapid recovery scores: <= 3 points; Slow or partial recovery scores: = 4 – 9 points;Non-recovery scores: >= 10 points. If you could capture complete episodes of care for at least 10 patients who are being treated for a musculoskeletal problem, you’d really be helping this project. Dave’s team is depending on clinicians like you for successful completion of the research study. Please take this opportunity to clinically support this research project.

Until next time,

~Selena

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